Hull City vs Everton Prediction: Moyes Masterclass Edges MKM Test

Hull City welcome Everton to the MKM Stadium on 11 October 2026 for a Premier League Matchday 6 fixture. Hull sit eighth after returning to the top flight, while Everton are unbeaten in seventh, having conceded no more than one goal in any game this season and collecting nine points from five matches.

Moyes has six wins from eight previous meetings with Hull, losing just once in that spell and Jakirović faces him here for the first time as a Premier League manager. Jakirović took charge at Hull in June 2025 after Rubén Sellés departed, while Moyes replaced Sean Dyche at Everton in January 2025 and has since shown an ability to reshape his side's structure depending on what opponents offer.

Hull's last five matches brought two wins and two draws before a 1-2 defeat at Newcastle on 19 September ended a run that had included draws at Chelsea and against Aston Villa. Everton's sequence of W D D D W included a 1-0 win over Ipswich on the same date.

Hull arrive with six first team absences concentrated in central midfield and defence: Eliot Matazo (knee), Ilyas Ansah (back), Darko Gyabi (groin), Jack Butland (arm and groin), Hidemasa Morita (groin and calf) and Charlie Hughes (groin) are all ruled out. Everton travel without Merlin Röhl (knock), while Vitalii Mykolenko and Christian Nørgaard are both doubtful, the former with an international knock and the latter with a groin and muscle concern. The uncertainty at left back and in defensive midfield may push Moyes toward a more conservative back four or an extra midfield screen.

Hull typically line up in a 5-4-1 and with Gyabi and Morita both absent the midfield is thinned considerably, which likely means they sit even deeper than usual and look to Mohamed Belloumi, the side's top scorer, to threaten from the flank on the counter while Oliver McBurnie plays as a target man. Everton's 4-2-3-1 has been hard to breach this season, with Jordan Pickford's shot stopping central to their low concession rate and the double pivot shielding the back four. Thierno Barry leads the line while Jack Grealish drops into pockets and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall screens behind him, though if both Mykolenko and Nørgaard miss out Moyes will likely add another body to that screen. Whether Belloumi can find space behind Everton's right back or whether the visitors close that channel down is probably where this match is won and lost.

Everton lead the all time head to head with 11 wins to Hull's seven and six draws across 24 meetings, with recent encounters including a 3-2 FA Cup win after extra time in January 2022 and a 4-0 Premier League victory in March 2017.

Everton's set pieces have already produced goals this season and Hull carry their own threat from dead balls, though the personnel to exploit it is reduced by the midfield absences. There is also the matter of the Friedkin Group's exploration of a controlling stake, announced around 9 October 2026, though Moyes has said the squad is staying focused.

Six absences concentrated in Hull's engine room and defence limit how much pressure they can realistically sustain and with Belloumi likely carrying the counter largely alone their transition threat is narrower than it would otherwise be. Everton's defensive numbers make them difficult to beat and Moyes has the better of this fixture across his career. Predicted score: Hull City 1-2 Everton.